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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MESQUITE BAY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.  PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HARVEY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  95.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  95.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  95.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.1N  95.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.7N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.4N  91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 35.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 38.0N  86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  95.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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