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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072017
0300 UTC MON AUG 07 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF CAMPECHE TO SABANCUY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CAMPECHE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE TO SABANCUY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE AROUND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  83.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  83.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  82.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N  84.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.5N  87.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N  89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.2N  91.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.9N  95.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 21.0N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  83.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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