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TROPICAL STORM CINDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017
2100 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
STENNIS MS 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
BURAS LA 34 11 6(17) 1(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 29 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 7 8(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 79 6(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 4 8(12) 4(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 9 15(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 9(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 11(15) 11(26) 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 14(19) 10(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 23 54(77) 8(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 14(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 9(21) X(21) X(21)
FORT POLK LA 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 17(32) 4(36) X(36) X(36)
FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 9(10) 26(36) 12(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAMERON LA 34 2 15(17) 33(50) 8(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
JASPER TX 34 1 4( 5) 10(15) 23(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40)
JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KOUNTZE TX 34 1 6( 7) 16(23) 20(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 9(10) 29(39) 14(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GALVESTON TX 34 1 8( 9) 21(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HOUSTON TX 34 1 4( 5) 9(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 1 6( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 10(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 9(10) 28(38) 11(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MATAGORDA TX 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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