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TROPICAL STORM ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0900 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.9W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.9W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.6N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.2N 120.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.1N 120.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.1N 123.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.8N 127.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 115.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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