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HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016
1200 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016
...NEWTON MOVING QUICKLY TOWARDS BAJA CALIFORNIA...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 60 MI...200 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Mazatlan to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guaymas to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was
located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 109.5 West. Newton is
moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through this morning. A turn toward
the north-northwest, and then to the north, are expected by tonight
and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the large eye
of Newton should be near or over the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula later this morning, move over portions of
the southern Baja California peninsula during the day today, and
move into northwestern Mexico on early Wednesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible before the hurricane reaches
the southern Baja California peninsula. Gradual weakening is
expected after Newton makes landfall.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160
miles (260 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, winds are expected to
reach tropical storm strength within the next couple of hours, with
hurricane conditions expected later this morning. These conditions
will spread northward over the Baja California peninsula through
today. Preparations to protect life and property should be near
For the Mexican mainland, tropical storm conditions are expected
over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning later
this morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward
throughout the day. Hurricane conditions are possible within the
Hurricane Watch area early Wednesday.
RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10
inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan,
Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora as well as much of the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through tonight. These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous
terrain. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected across
portions of southern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico from late
Wednesday into Thursday, with localized amounts of up to 3 inches
possible. These rains could result in dangerous flash flooding.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula
and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through today, and begin to subside on
Wednesday. Swells should increase across the southern and central
portions of the Baja California peninsula today and today. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.