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HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016
600 PM MDT MON SEP 05 2016
...NEWTON CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to San Evaristo, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of San Evaristo to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Bahia Tempehuaya to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of San Evaristo to Loreto
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Mazatlan to south of Bahia Tempehuaya
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
to 18 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 108.6 West. Newton is moving
toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through early Tuesday. A turn toward the
north-northwest, and then to the north, is expected late Tuesday and
Wednesday. On the forecast track, Newton should be near or over the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula early Tuesday morning,
move over portions of the southern Baja California peninsula late
Tuesday, and move into northwestern Mexico on early Wednesday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph
(140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is
expected before landfall.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure from Air Force reconnaissance
aircraft data is 984 mb (29.06 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, winds are expected to
reach tropical storm strength late tonight, with hurricane
conditions expected by early Tuesday morning. These conditions
will spread northward over the Baja California peninsula through
Tuesday. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible
within the hurricane watch area later on Tuesday. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
For the Mexican mainland, tropical storm conditions occurring
from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes should end early tonight.
Farther northward, tropical storm conditions are expected over
northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning Tuesday
morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward
throughout the day.
RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10
inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan,
Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora as well as much of the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through Tuesday night. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of
mountainous terrain. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
expected across portions of southern Arizona and southwestern New
Mexico from late Wednesday into Thursday, with localized amounts of
up to 3 inches possible. These rains could result in dangerous
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday, and begin to subside
on Wednesday. Swells should increase across the southern and
central portions of the Baja California peninsula today and Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.