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TROPICAL STORM NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016
100 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2016
...NEWTON HEADED TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo
* north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* north of San Evaristo to Loreto
* north of Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito
* Mazatlan to Huatabampito
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 106.0 West. Newton is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
northwestward or north-northwestward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected later today and Tuesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Newton will be near or over the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or so, and
Newton could be near hurricane intensity when it approaches the
extreme southern Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the hurricane warning area by Tuesday morning. Winds are expected
to first reach tropical storm strength by late tonight, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion. Hurricane and
tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area on Tuesday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm
warning area along the southwestern coast of Mexico by tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
watch areas on Tuesday.
RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican
states of Michoacan, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as the state
of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches
through Tuesday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain.
SURF: Swells generated by Newton are expected to increase near the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula during the next day or two. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.