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Tropical Storm JAVIER


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
1200 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2016

CORRECTED TO SHOW HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA

...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS THAT JAVIER HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 109.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has replaced the Hurricane Warning with a
Hurricane Watch from Los Barriles to Todos Santos.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
*Cabo San Lazaro to Los Barriles

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Loreto
* Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 109.3 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion
with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday.  On
the forecast track, the center of Javier is forecast to pass near or
over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula later today,
and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur tonight and
Tuesday.

Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that
the maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is possible while Javier passes near the
extreme Baja California peninsula.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter data is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa
and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area as early as this evening.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning area over the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula later today and tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula on Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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