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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
1500 UTC WED JUL 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 132.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 132.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 132.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.8N 134.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.8N 136.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 138.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N 140.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 23.5N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 154.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 132.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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