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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
0900 UTC SUN JUL 10 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 119.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 119.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.2W
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.9N 121.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.1N 126.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.6N 128.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 131.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.7N 135.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 21.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 119.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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