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Hurricane BLAS


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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
1500 UTC WED JUL 06 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.4N 125.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N 127.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N 128.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N 133.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.8N 137.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 123.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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