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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
2100 UTC TUE JUL 05 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 120.9W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 120.9W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 120.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.6N 122.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.1N 124.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 126.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 128.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 120.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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