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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  65.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  65.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N  65.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N  65.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N  65.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.3N  65.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 34.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N  65.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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