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Tropical Storm MATTHEW


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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
200 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016

...MATTHEW MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM
THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 64.0W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
to 48 hours.

Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor
the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 64.0 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion with
some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will continue to
move away from the Windward Islands tonight, and be over the eastern
and central Caribbean Sea through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days,
and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane by Thursday night or
Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
primarily to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue for a few more hours
over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands
within the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are possible in
Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba beginning late Thursday.

RAINFALL:  Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday.  These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3
inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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