Hurricane MATTHEW

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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SURF CITY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  80.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE  60SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  80.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  80.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.9N  79.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.7N  77.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.4N  75.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 32.6N  73.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 26.0N  75.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N  76.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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