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Hurricane JOAQUIN


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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  59.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  59.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  60.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N  55.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.8N  48.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.0N  40.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 230SE 210SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.3N  32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.2N  21.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 49.3N  14.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.8N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N  59.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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