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TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  70.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  70.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  70.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.6N  71.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.7N  72.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 26.8N  72.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 32.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  70.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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