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SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012015
2100 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ANA.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  77.4W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  77.4W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  77.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.9N  77.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.3N  77.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.0N  78.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.6N  78.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 36.0N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 40.5N  69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 46.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  77.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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