Tropical Storm LOWELL

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TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 118.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 119.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.3N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 121.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 24.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.2N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 119.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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