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Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN-E


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 101.0W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO ON
SUNDAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN
ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
EARLY SUNDAY. THE DEPRESSION COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH BY
LATE MONDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA BY LATE MONDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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