Hurricane MANUEL

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 18 2013
 
...MANUEL MOVING SLOWLY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...24.7N 108.1W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM WNW OF ALTATA MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MANUEL WAS
LOCATED VERY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3
MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE A SMALL DISTANCE INLAND OVER
WESTERN MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERNIGHT.
 
MANUEL IS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE COAST
WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF SINALOA
AND EXTREME SOUTHERN SONORA WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA.

RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN 
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF NAYARIT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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