Tropical Storm ERICK

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
500 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013
 
...CENTER OF ERICK PASSING WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...22.9N 111.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST. ERICK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERICK WILL BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERICK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...
95 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
 
RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN
 
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