Tropical Storm ERICK

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
500 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013
 
...ERICK EDGING CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.7N 109.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST. ERICK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF ERICK SHOULD PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
 
RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
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