Subtropical Storm MELISSA

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SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
0300 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  54.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 540SE 540SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  54.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  54.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.3N  54.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.6N  52.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N  48.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.8N  43.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 46.0N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 53.5N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  54.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
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FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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