Tropical Storm ANDREA
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TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
1500 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 3 9 15 NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 13 25 39 38 NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 85 68 48 44 NA NA NA
HURRICANE 2 5 3 3 NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 2 5 3 3 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 18(18) 14(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 19(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 36(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 3( 3) 39(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ST JOHN NB 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PORTLAND ME 34 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CONCORD NH 34 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
BOSTON MA 34 X 33(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
BOSTON MA 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 54(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
HYANNIS MA 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HYANNIS MA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 55(55) 5(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 44(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 51(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW YORK CITY 34 2 23(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
NEWARK NJ 34 2 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
TRENTON NJ 34 3 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 11 29(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DOVER DE 34 20 10(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
WASHINGTON DC 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 52 18(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NORFOLK NAS 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
NORFOLK NAS 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 86 X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
NORFOLK VA 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 65 8(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
WALLOPS CDA 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 71 X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
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FORECASTER BERG
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