Tropical Storm ANDREA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC THU JUN 06 2013
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 4 8 18 27 26 23
TROP DEPRESSION 2 25 27 32 32 28 19
TROPICAL STORM 91 67 60 46 39 42 48
HURRICANE 7 5 5 4 3 4 10
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 6 5 4 4 3 4 9
HUR CAT 2 1 X 1 X X X 1
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT 45KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) X(16)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 12(12) 15(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 12(12) 16(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 18(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 24(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 32(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 13(13) 24(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 30(31) 9(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MAYPORT NS 34 3 36(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
MAYPORT NS 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 42(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 15(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
ORLANDO FL 34 8 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PATRICK AFB 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT PIERCE FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARCO ISLAND 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VENICE FL 34 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
TAMPA FL 34 30 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 50 19(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 10 10(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 12 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST MARKS FL 34 24 11(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
ST MARKS FL 50 5 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST MARKS FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
APALACHICOLA 34 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
APALACHICOLA 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 18 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
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