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Hurricane SANDY


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
0300 UTC THU OCT 25 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...SOUTHEASTERN
INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...
AND MAYAGUANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  76.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.6N  76.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.4N  76.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.3N  76.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE  90SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.6N  77.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 160SE 100SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 30.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 33.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 37.0N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  76.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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