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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC WED OCT 24 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA TO FLAGLER BEACH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO SEBASTIAN INLET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA....IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  76.6W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  76.6W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  76.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.3N  76.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.5N  76.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.8N  76.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE  90SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.3N  77.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 160SE 100SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 37.0N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  76.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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