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Tropical Storm SANDY


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TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  77.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.7N  77.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.3N  76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.8N  76.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  80SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.3N  76.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 100SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 32.0N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  77.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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