Tropical Depression EIGHT

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082012
0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  55.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  55.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.0N  54.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.5N  44.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  80SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 37.5N  28.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 40.0N  22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  55.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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