Tropical Storm IRWIN
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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011
1500 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 115.0W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 210SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 115.0W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.4W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.1N 111.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.0N 109.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 107.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.5N 104.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 104.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 115.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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