Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane JOVA


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
0900 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO MEXICO
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 107.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 240SE 300SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 107.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.6N 106.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  45SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.3N 105.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.1N 105.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  55SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 104.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  55SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 120SE 110SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 24.5N 104.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 107.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN