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Tropical Storm EUGENE


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
2100 UTC SUN JUL 31 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.1W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.1W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 100.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.5N 102.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.9N 106.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.6N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 17.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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