Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0900 UTC TUE OCT 04 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  58.3W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  58.3W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  57.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.5N  59.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.8N  61.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 29.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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