Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  62.3W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  62.3W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.8N  62.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 41.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 51.5N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 53.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  62.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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