Tropical Storm OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N  60.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.9N  61.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N  63.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.4N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.8N  65.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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