Tropical Storm OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OPHELIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  47.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  70 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  47.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  46.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.8N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N  51.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.4N  53.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N  55.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 24.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  47.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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