Tropical Storm MARIA

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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC WED SEP 14 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  68.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  68.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  68.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 28.8N  68.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.8N  67.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.0N  64.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 52.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 180SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  68.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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