Tropical Storm MARIA

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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  62.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  62.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.6N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N  65.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.3N  66.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N  68.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 32.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 39.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  62.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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