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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  91.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  91.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  91.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.6N  91.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.2N  91.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N  91.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.7N  91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.8N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.0N  87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  91.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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