Tropical Depression TEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102011
1500 UTC THU AUG 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  31.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  31.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  31.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.7N  34.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.6N  35.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N  35.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N  37.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.0N  40.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  31.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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