Hurricane IRENE

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
2100 UTC MON AUG 22 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO EASTWARD
TO CABO ENGANO
* ALL OF HAITI
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  68.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT.......160NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  68.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  68.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N  70.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT...160NE  75SE  45SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT...160NE  75SE  45SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  45SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...160NE  75SE  45SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  75SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.0N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  68.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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