Tropical Depression SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072011
0300 UTC SUN AUG 14 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  61.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  61.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 28.6N  62.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.1N  63.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 43.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  61.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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