Tropical Storm DON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042011               
2100 UTC THU JUL 28 2011                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       2       2      21      55      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 15      16      15      44      38      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  83      76      71      34       6      NA      NA
HURRICANE        1       6      13       1       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       6      11       1       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       1       1       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   40KT    45KT    50KT    30KT    20KT    NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 280N 910W 34  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  6  15(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  1   6( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  1  10(11)   9(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   8( 8)  10(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   3( 3)  13(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   3( 3)  20(23)   9(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  1  14(15)  14(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  1  35(36)  13(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  1  15(16)  36(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X  10(10)  41(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  1  35(36)  20(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   6( 6)  13(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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