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Tropical Storm ESTELLE


ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072010
2100 UTC SAT AUG 07 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 112.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 17.0N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 108.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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