Tropical Storm TOMAS

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0300 UTC MON NOV 01 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  66.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 105SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  66.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  66.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.4N  68.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.7N  69.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.8N  71.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.8N  73.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  66.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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