Hurricane TOMAS

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HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0300 UTC SUN OCT 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST.
VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
MARTINIQUE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO WILL BE DISCONTINUING THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  62.1W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  62.1W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  61.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.0N  63.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.9N  68.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.0N  69.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 105SW 135NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 15.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  62.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
 
 
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