Tropical Storm TOMAS

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0900 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* DOMINICA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  59.5W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  75SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  59.5W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.5N  61.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  60SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.1N  63.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  35SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  85SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N  68.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 105SE 105SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 16.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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