Hurricane ALEX
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HURRICANE ALEX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2010
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS
...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 14 32 NA NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 1 58 47 NA NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 62 27 21 NA NA NA NA
HURRICANE 37 1 X NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 30 1 X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 6 X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 1 X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60KT 30KT 25KT NA NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FREEPORT TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LA PESCO MX 34 89 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
LA PESCO MX 50 43 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
LA PESCO MX 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TAMPICO MX 34 12 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TUXPAN MX 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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