Tropical Storm CARLOS

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
0300 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 127.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 127.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.6N 126.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z  9.7N 128.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z  9.9N 130.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 10.2N 132.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.5N 134.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.3N 138.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 11.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 11.5N 152.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.7N 127.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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